The entire world is watching and waiting for US Election results on November 05. This will have a huge implication for the entire world in terms of Multi-lateral trade, Geo-Politics, Economy, Immigration etc.
It is generally expected that result of US Elections will not have much impact on the bilateral relations between USA and India as both USA nd India needs each other due to Geopolitical and strategic reasons.
Regardless of who wins the US election, India is unlikely to feel affected much.
Though, the Indian establishment wouldn’t mind either of Trump or Harris winning the elections but will obviously prefer one over the other.
While the Modi government has already worked with Trump during his tenure as a president in 2017-2021. The Modi government has also worked with Harris as she is currently the vice president of the US. Kamala Harris also has Indian roots with her mother being from Chennai.
Geo-Politics and Global Security: it is very heartening to note that the US has established a robust partnership with India in respect to overall geopolitical concerns, especially with regard to China and Indo-Pacific. Both Trump and Harris consider India as a major Partner to counter China’s rising influence and Power.
Trade: Trump is a strong believer in America First Policy and Protectionism where all Trade decisions are taken keeping in mind Trade and Business interest of USA. Trump had slammed many new tariffs on Indian products during his earlier stint. He had also withdrawn India’s GSP status but tried to negotiate an FTA. On the other hand, Harris has not tried to use Trade Tariffs as a major trade weapon to improve US Trade interests.
Immigration: It is an area where result of US election will have a significant impact. Trump will be more decisive in acting against illegal immigrants and also may reduce H-1B Visa program which is critical for IT Professionals from India.
Climate change: Trump will not really be interested in climate goals and will want India to buy more of US energy whereas Harris will take climate goals more seriously and ensure funding to India for renewable energy.
China: Both Trump as well as Harris will escalate the US-China rivalry but Trump will be more aggressive going by his earlier track record. But Trump will surely want more concessions from India as well in the Trade related Taxes and would want India to act actively in the matter to further American business interest. Trump will also aggressively take a stand against China which will be harsher than Harris in every sphere.
Conclusion: The current relationship between USA and India is deep rooted enough to withstand the turbulence that may arise during the initial period of the new President. Moreover, current Global Geo—political situation makes a strong Indo-US Partnership is a necessity for both the Countries.
